SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027237 days left

Will Marty Makary be out as FDA commissioner before Jan 1, 2027?

This contract is priced at 92¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 93¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

92¢
$6K volume
$3K liquidity
14% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$40K

Best sibling

Before Jun 1, 2026 75¢

Ticker

KXMAKARYOUT-26MAY-JAN01

Market snapshot

Before Jan 1, 2027 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Marty Makary be out as FDA commissioner before Jan 1, 2027?. The displayed quote is 92¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $5K. In the Will Marty Makary be out as FDA commissioner before family, this outcome ranks #1 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Before Jan 1, 2027

Family rank

#1 of 4

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

92¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

24h volume

$5K

Family context

4 outcomes · Will Marty Makary be out as FDA commissioner before

Quote range

75¢-92¢

Family leader

Before Jan 1, 2027 92¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: KXMAKARYOUT-26MAY-JAN01. Family volume: $40K.

Price history

92¢ current

+25¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 5, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

92 / 93¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
92¢1.1K
89¢5
88¢82
87¢265
86¢515
AskSize
93¢66
94¢613
95¢250
96¢616
97¢500

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Marty Makary leaves as FDA commissioner before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXMAKARYOUT-26MAY-JAN01

Event family

Will Marty Makary be out as FDA commissioner before.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$40K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Before Jan 1, 2027 92¢

Current share

12%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

13.4%

IY (No)

1771.8%

Adj IY

1753%

CRI

12

RV

292%

VR

7.44

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

13.4%
1771.8%
Adj IY
1753%
12
RV
292%
VR
7.44
IAR
0.9/h
Overround
2.4%
LAS
0.01

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