SimpleFunctions
KalshiJul 1, 202653 days left

Will Marty Makary be out as FDA commissioner before Jul 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 89¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 89¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

89¢
$8K volume
$5K liquidity
21% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$40K

Best sibling

Before Jun 1, 2026 75¢

Ticker

KXMAKARYOUT-26MAY-JUL01

Market snapshot

Before Jul 1, 2026 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Marty Makary be out as FDA commissioner before Jul 1, 2026?. The displayed quote is 89¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $7K. In the Will Marty Makary be out as FDA commissioner before family, this outcome ranks #2 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Before Jul 1, 2026

Family rank

#2 of 4

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

89¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jul 1, 2026

24h volume

$7K

Family context

4 outcomes · Will Marty Makary be out as FDA commissioner before

Quote range

75¢-92¢

Family leader

Before Jan 1, 2027 92¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: KXMAKARYOUT-26MAY-JUL01. Family volume: $40K.

Price history

89¢ current

+57¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 5, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

89 / 90¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
89¢70
88¢9
87¢39
86¢3
85¢44
AskSize
90¢493
91¢301
92¢463
93¢500
94¢100

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Marty Makary leaves as FDA commissioner before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMAKARYOUT-26MAY-JUL01

Event family

Will Marty Makary be out as FDA commissioner before.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$40K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Before Jan 1, 2027 92¢

Current share

17%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

85.2%

IY (No)

5577.1%

Adj IY

5515%

CRI

8

RV

492%

VR

4.84

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

85.2%
5577.1%
Adj IY
5515%
8
RV
492%
VR
4.84
IAR
0.9/h
Overround
2.4%
LAS
0.01

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