SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 21, 2029988 days left

Will Matt Borges receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?

This contract is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

14¢
$1K volume
$1K liquidity
28% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$5K

Best sibling

Donald Trump Jr. 54¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MBOR

Market snapshot

Matt Borges in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Matt Borges receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?. The displayed quote is 14¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $1K. In the KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21 family, this outcome ranks #16 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Matt Borges

Family rank

#16 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

14¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 21, 2029

Reported volume

$1K

Family context

16 outcomes · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21

Quote range

13¢-54¢

Family leader

Donald Trump Jr. 54¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MBOR. Family volume: $5K.

Price history

14¢ current

+11¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 8, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

13 / 17¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
13¢250
11¢500
3¢1.0K
3¢49
3¢26
AskSize
17¢6
18¢250
19¢500
62¢1.2K
63¢9

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Matt Borges has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 21, 2029

Identifier

KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MBOR

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

247.1%

IY (No)

5.5%

Adj IY

124%

CRI

7

Overround

12.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

247.1%
5.5%
Adj IY
124%
7
Overround
12.2%

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