Will Matthew Whitaker be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Iowa?
This contract is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$300
Best sibling
Ashley Hinson 97¢
Ticker
KXSENATEIAR-26-MWHI
Market snapshot
Matthew Whitaker in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Matthew Whitaker be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Iowa?. The displayed quote is 2¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $43. In the KXSENATEIAR-26 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC.
Outcome
Matthew Whitaker
Family rank
#2 of 5
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
2¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Nov 3, 2026
Reported volume
$43
Family context
5 outcomes · KXSENATEIAR-26
Quote range
1¢-97¢
Family leader
Ashley Hinson 97¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: KXSENATEIAR-26-MWHI. Family volume: $300.
Price history
2¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Matthew Whitaker wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate Iowa Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
KXSENATEIAR-26-MWHI
Event family
KXSENATEIAR-26.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$300
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Ashley Hinson 97¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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