Will Pat Grassley be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Iowa?
This contract is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$300
Best sibling
Ashley Hinson 97¢
Ticker
KXSENATEIAR-26-PGRA
Market snapshot
Pat Grassley in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Pat Grassley be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Iowa?. The displayed quote is 1¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $164. In the KXSENATEIAR-26 family, this outcome ranks #4 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC.
Outcome
Pat Grassley
Family rank
#4 of 5
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
1¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Nov 3, 2026
Reported volume
$164
Family context
5 outcomes · KXSENATEIAR-26
Quote range
1¢-97¢
Family leader
Ashley Hinson 97¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: KXSENATEIAR-26-PGRA. Family volume: $300.
Price history
1¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Pat Grassley wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate Iowa Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
KXSENATEIAR-26-PGRA
Event family
KXSENATEIAR-26.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$300
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Ashley Hinson 97¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress
A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 1% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.