Michael · Highest grossing movie in 2026
Michael is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 14 inside Highest grossing movie in 2026?.
Price history
1¢ current
−49¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Outcome
Michael
Rank
#6 of 14
Leader
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 54¢
Range
0¢-54¢
Family volume
$9.3M
Identifier
0xde9f827c...1704
May 28, 2026, 10:16 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#6 of 14
14 outcomes · Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$9.3M
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xde9f827c…1704
Event family
Highest grossing movie in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$9.3M
Outcomes
14
Highest price
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 54¢
Current share
9%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
polymarket · 0xc4b07998e8f9bf6b95f079d6dc0529f3c6f59698d4e168817ad5f99304de6c57
Avengers: Doomsday
polymarket · 0xe4f4b614a6c2b4ecd8eb700d19c0e6533d3fbd1bc28193b2255394ef74006e6f
Toy Story 5
polymarket · 0xcd57f3ad3bbbdaa96aacabd35f50c2d6e30f777e4a33876a4ab2dcd9f0b8c170
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
polymarket · 0xec181db4470b152493b58229862af3f6335b77cc719f5a0e7ed58c9f9848b992
The Odyssey
polymarket · 0x6ec4fec4885df7f3ac46e5d0051beb6d8ac75de6a8481f13f245ff26dcb4b662
Scream 7
polymarket · 0x894a61a2baa777adf1d03a263a4b2d8faa7e1ebc7bf6694a37701fae8add01d9
Wuthering Heights
polymarket · 0x221aaa62fed17db56fbc7983f88110a9c34861c3262154ee3315425378e3ae12
Wicked: For Good
polymarket · 0xfd029ab3d6d27b6e1f3480dce858c97fb12e5bebd6fb50be7520102c56ba8ce1
Michael
polymarket · 0xde9f827cb2d568db7801439693645a941a38fe6feaeb08b86087ad367d991704
Project Hail Mary
polymarket · 0x242d251e7e804f79e1f237896b0f5e73caea72375dcb84e5a60d1cd0d2f80ef5
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
polymarket · 0x625d0091f4c647e5497bd9b03f8526bd486d6c339380b8046e4dd5b3373046b7
Dune: Messiah
polymarket · 0x9c47ba9e666983bd8d82bfab790509153bf7756c43913f6ef269e33c8955939c
Jumanji 3
polymarket · 0xcf8a237df51a51511c4f96bb4390480ad72b898ca8ec7e9a3c16c47c8e5e468a
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
polymarket · 0xc9b9f89ac915385c8d77edb73872c49e5bf76e510b74b9609e74e7f8d0339df2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
cultural
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.