Will Moldova be Top 5?
This contract is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 3¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$40K
Best sibling
Greece 55¢
Ticker
KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-MOL
Market snapshot
Moldova in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Moldova be Top 5?. The displayed quote is 18¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $2K. In the KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5 family, this outcome ranks #6 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 14, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC.
Outcome
Moldova
Family rank
#6 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
18¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 17, 2026
24h volume
$2K
Family context
16 outcomes · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5
Quote range
1¢-88¢
Family leader
Finland 88¢
Last updated
May 14, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 13m ago
Venue identifier: KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-MOL. Family volume: $40K.
Price history
18¢ current
+15¢Orderbook snapshot
18 / 21¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Moldova finishes Top 5 at the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 Grand Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 17, 2026
Identifier
KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-MOL
Event family
KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$40K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Finland 88¢
Current share
4%
Moldova
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-MOL
Greece
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-GRE
Cyprus
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-CYP
Australia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-AUS
Israel
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-ISR
Finland
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-FIN
Denmark
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-DEN
Serbia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-SER
France
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-FRA
Bulgaria
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-BUL
Czechia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-CZE
Sweden
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-SWE
Croatia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-CRO
Italy
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-ITA
Albania
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-ALB
Ukraine
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-UKR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 18% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.