New York M win at least 75 games this season
75+ wins is priced at 54¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 62¢ bid, 64¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside Will New York M win at least.
Price history
54¢ current
−6¢Contract brief
If New York M has 75+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
75+ wins
Rank
#1 of 7
Leader
75+ wins 62¢
Range
2¢-62¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T75
May 28, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
62¢
Ask
64¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$709
Family rank
#1 of 7
7 outcomes · Will New York M win at least
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
62 / 64¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If New York M has 75+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T75
Event family
Will New York M win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
75+ wins 62¢
Current share
55%
75+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T75
80+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T80
90+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T90
85+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T85
100+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T100
105+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T105
95+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T95
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.