SimpleFunctions

New York M win at least 105 games this season

105+ wins is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 7 inside Will New York M win at least.

Price history

3¢ current

0¢5¢
Apr 25, 2026Apr 26, 2026

Contract brief

If New York M has 105+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

105+ wins

Rank

#5 of 7

Leader

75+ wins 63¢

Range

1¢-63¢

Family volume

$651

Identifier

KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T105

May 25, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 27m ago

Implied probability

3¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 27m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$5

Family rank

#5 of 7

7 outcomes · Will New York M win at least

Closes

Nov 8, 2026

Family volume

$651

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 8¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
8¢500
9¢850
16¢10
17¢10
20¢20

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If New York M has 105+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 8, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T105

SF Signal
SF Index
3547.71
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will New York M win at least.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$651

Outcomes

7

Highest price

75+ wins 63¢

Current share

0%

Browse this series

MLB Team Season Win Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLBWINS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7095.4%

IY (No)

6.8%

Adj IY

3548%

CRI

32

Overround

0.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7095.4%
6.8%
Adj IY
3548%
32
Overround
0.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.