Will Nico Williams be in the Spain World Cup final squad?
This contract is priced at 64¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 59¢ bid, 64¢ ask, 5¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$1K
Best sibling
Gavi 57¢
Ticker
KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-NWIL
Market snapshot
Nico Williams in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Nico Williams be in the Spain World Cup final squad?. The displayed quote is 64¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $713. In the KXWCSQUAD-26ESP family, this outcome ranks #6 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC.
Outcome
Nico Williams
Family rank
#6 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
64¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 16, 2026
24h volume
$713
Family context
16 outcomes · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP
Quote range
6¢-91¢
Family leader
Unai Simon 91¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC · 4m ago
Venue identifier: KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-NWIL. Family volume: $1K.
Price history
64¢ current
+36¢Orderbook snapshot
59 / 64¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Nico Williams is selected for the final squad for the Spain national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 16, 2026
Identifier
KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-NWIL
Event family
KXWCSQUAD-26ESP.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Unai Simon 91¢
Current share
52%
Nico Williams
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-NWIL
Gavi
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-GAVI
Mikel Merino
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-MMER
Eric Garcia
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-EGAR
Fabian Ruiz
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-FRUI
Victor Munoz
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-VMUN
David Raya
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-DRAY
Alex Remiro
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-AREM
Unai Simon
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-USIM
Dani Carvajal
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-DCAR
Robin Le Normand
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-RLEN
Nacho
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-NACH
Dani Vivian
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-DVIV
Alejandro Grimaldo
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-AGRI
Aymeric Laporte
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-ALAP
Marc Cucurella
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-MCUC
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 64% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.