Will Oliver Larkin be the Democratic nominee for FL-23?
This contract is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 19¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$2K
Best sibling
Jared Moskowitz 8¢
Ticker
KXFLPRIMARY-23D26-OLAR
Market snapshot
Oliver Larkin in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Oliver Larkin be the Democratic nominee for FL-23?. The displayed quote is 3¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $52. In the KXFLPRIMARY-23D26 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Oliver Larkin
Family rank
#2 of 2
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
3¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Nov 3, 2027
24h volume
$52
Family context
2 outcomes · KXFLPRIMARY-23D26
Quote range
3¢-8¢
Family leader
Jared Moskowitz 8¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 15m ago
Venue identifier: KXFLPRIMARY-23D26-OLAR. Family volume: $2K.
Price history
3¢ current
−34¢Orderbook snapshot
3 / 22¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Oliver Larkin wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-23 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXFLPRIMARY-23D26-OLAR
Event family
KXFLPRIMARY-23D26.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Jared Moskowitz 8¢
Current share
3%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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