Will over 4.5 goals be scored?
This contract is priced at 40¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 79¢ ask, 78¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
Over 1.5 goals scored 72¢
Ticker
KXLALIGATOTAL-26MAY14GIRRSO-4
Market snapshot
Over 4.5 goals scored in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will over 4.5 goals be scored?. The displayed quote is 40¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the KXLALIGATOTAL-26MAY14GIRRSO family, this outcome ranks #4 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Over 4.5 goals scored
Family rank
#4 of 4
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
40¢
Quote source
Bid/ask midpoint
Timing
Listed until May 28, 2026
Reported volume
—
Family context
4 outcomes · KXLALIGATOTAL-26MAY14GIRRSO
Quote range
9¢-72¢
Family leader
Over 1.5 goals scored 72¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 2m ago
Venue identifier: KXLALIGATOTAL-26MAY14GIRRSO-4. Family volume: —.
Price history
40¢ current
+38¢Orderbook snapshot
1 / 79¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Real Sociedad and Girona collectively score more than 4.5 total goals in the Girona vs Real Sociedad professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 28, 2026
Identifier
KXLALIGATOTAL-26MAY14GIRRSO-4
Event family
KXLALIGATOTAL-26MAY14GIRRSO.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Over 1.5 goals scored 72¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders
Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 40% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.