SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 28, 202619 days left

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

This contract is priced at 28¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 13¢ spread.

Implied probability

28¢
$0 volume
0.9 LAS liquidity

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Over 1.5 goals scored 21¢

Ticker

KXLALIGATOTAL-26MAY14RMAOVI-4

Market snapshot

Over 4.5 goals scored in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will over 4.5 goals be scored?. The displayed quote is 28¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the KXLALIGATOTAL-26MAY14RMAOVI family, this outcome ranks #3 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC.

Outcome

Over 4.5 goals scored

Family rank

#3 of 4

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

28¢

Quote source

Bid/ask midpoint

Timing

Listed until May 28, 2026

Reported volume

Family context

4 outcomes · KXLALIGATOTAL-26MAY14RMAOVI

Quote range

21¢-67¢

Family leader

Over 2.5 goals scored 67¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: KXLALIGATOTAL-26MAY14RMAOVI-4. Family volume: .

Price history

28¢ current

+26¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 34¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
100¢300
21¢132
20¢1.0K
4¢978
3¢2.2K
AskSize
34¢1.0K
35¢1.2K
76¢1.2K
77¢1.5K
80¢41

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Oviedo and Real Madrid collectively score more than 4.5 total goals in the Real Madrid vs Oviedo professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 28, 2026

Identifier

KXLALIGATOTAL-26MAY14RMAOVI-4

Event family

KXLALIGATOTAL-26MAY14RMAOVI.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Over 2.5 goals scored 67¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7111.9%

IY (No)

502.5%

Adj IY

7112%

CRI

4

RV

2572%

VR

1.79

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7111.9%
502.5%
Adj IY
7112%
4
RV
2572%
VR
1.79
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
0.5%

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