Will over 4.5 goals be scored?
This contract is priced at 16¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 6¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$704
Best sibling
Over 2.5 goals scored 54¢
Ticker
KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY13CLTNYC-4
Market snapshot
Over 4.5 goals scored in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will over 4.5 goals be scored?. The displayed quote is 16¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY13CLTNYC family, this outcome ranks #4 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 11:23 PM UTC.
Outcome
Over 4.5 goals scored
Family rank
#4 of 4
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
16¢
Quote source
Bid/ask midpoint
Timing
Listed until May 27, 2026
Reported volume
—
Family context
4 outcomes · KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY13CLTNYC
Quote range
13¢-80¢
Family leader
Over 1.5 goals scored 80¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 11:23 PM UTC · 15m ago
Venue identifier: KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY13CLTNYC-4. Family volume: $704.
Price history
16¢ current
+14¢Orderbook snapshot
13 / 19¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If New York City and Charlotte collectively score more than 4.5 total goals in the Charlotte vs New York City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 27, 2026
Identifier
KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY13CLTNYC-4
Event family
KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY13CLTNYC.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$704
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Over 1.5 goals scored 80¢
Current share
0%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.