Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $150 end of April?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $622.64 open interest, making the 44¢ price potentially unreliable despite the modest 31¢ spread. The astronomical implied yield of 4105% reflects the thin liquidity rather than genuine conviction—PLTR would need to nearly 4x from current levels to hit $150 in 11 days, a move with realized volatility of 1991% suggesting this contract is pricing in tail-risk scenarios. With a Cliff Risk Index of 1 and minimal information arrival (3.3/h), this appears to be a dead or near-dead market where any trade could significantly move the price.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

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