SimpleFunctions

Pamela Evette · KXGOVSCNOMR-26

Pamela Evette is priced at 74¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 74¢ bid, 75¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXGOVSCNOMR-26.

Price history

74¢ current

+43¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 12, 2026Jun 11, 2026

Contract brief

If Pamela Evette wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 South Carolina Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Pamela Evette

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Pamela Evette 74¢

Range

25¢-74¢

Family volume

$49K

Identifier

KXGOVSCNOMR-26-PEVE

Jun 11, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 21m ago

Implied probability

74¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 11, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 21m ago

Bid

74¢

Ask

75¢

Spread

24h volume

$32K

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXGOVSCNOMR-26

Closes

Nov 3, 2026

Family volume

$49K

Orderbook snapshot

74 / 75¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
74¢3.8K
73¢1.3K
72¢3.5K
71¢1.0K
70¢32
AskSize
75¢4.1K
76¢1.1K
77¢478
78¢4.0K
79¢2.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Pamela Evette wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 South Carolina Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2026

Identifier

KXGOVSCNOMR-26-PEVE

SF Signal
SF Index
706.91
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at .

View counterpart

Event family

KXGOVSCNOMR-26.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$49K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Pamela Evette 74¢

Current share

65%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

88.5%

IY (No)

716.6%

Adj IY

707%

CRI

3

RV

335%

VR

3.62

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

88.5%
716.6%
Adj IY
707%
3
RV
335%
VR
3.62
IAR
1.5/h
LAS
0.01

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.