SimpleFunctions
KalshiAug 3, 202686 days left

Will Paraguay qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?

This contract is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 9¢ spread.

Implied probability

16¢
$6 volume
$6 liquidity
1% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$408

Best sibling

France 55¢

Ticker

KXWCROUND-26QUAR-PAR

Market snapshot

Paraguay in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Paraguay qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?. The displayed quote is 16¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $6. In the KXWCROUND-26QUAR family, this outcome ranks #13 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 11:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Paraguay

Family rank

#13 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

16¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 3, 2026

Reported volume

$6

Family context

16 outcomes · KXWCROUND-26QUAR

Quote range

1¢-83¢

Family leader

Haiti 83¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 11:23 AM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: KXWCROUND-26QUAR-PAR. Family volume: $408.

Price history

16¢ current

+14¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026Apr 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 13¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
4¢15
AskSize
13¢13
14¢3
16¢2
17¢555
21¢3

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Paraguay is one of the teams to qualify for the Quarterfinals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 3, 2026

Identifier

KXWCROUND-26QUAR-PAR

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

10173.2%

IY (No)

17.7%

Adj IY

5087%

CRI

24

Overround

6.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

10173.2%
17.7%
Adj IY
5087%
24
Overround
6.8%

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