SimpleFunctions
KalshiAug 3, 202686 days left

Will Sweden qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?

This contract is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

16¢
$113 volume
$88 liquidity
28% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$408

Best sibling

France 55¢

Ticker

KXWCROUND-26QUAR-SWE

Market snapshot

Sweden in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Sweden qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?. The displayed quote is 16¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $6. In the KXWCROUND-26QUAR family, this outcome ranks #9 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC.

Outcome

Sweden

Family rank

#9 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

16¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 3, 2026

24h volume

$6

Family context

16 outcomes · KXWCROUND-26QUAR

Quote range

1¢-83¢

Family leader

Haiti 83¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: KXWCROUND-26QUAR-SWE. Family volume: $408.

Price history

16¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 12, 2026Apr 29, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 16¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
12¢16
11¢10
2¢32
AskSize
16¢142
17¢555
29¢16
38¢35
41¢16

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Sweden is one of the teams to qualify for the Quarterfinals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 3, 2026

Identifier

KXWCROUND-26QUAR-SWE

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3109.6%

IY (No)

57.8%

Adj IY

1037%

CRI

7

Overround

6.8%

LAS

0.33

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3109.6%
57.8%
Adj IY
1037%
7
Overround
6.8%
LAS
0.33

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