SimpleFunctions
KalshiJul 1, 202659 days left

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran before Jul 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Implied probability

4¢
$140K volume
$82K liquidity
1350% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$10K

Best sibling

Any U.S. House member 2¢

Ticker

KXVISITIRAN-26JUL01-RPAH

Price history

4¢ current

3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 4¢

Kalshi
0¢ spread
BidSize
4¢175
3¢176
3¢200
3¢180
3¢18
AskSize
4¢500
4¢200
4¢2
4¢999
4¢500

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Reza Pahlavi has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

KXVISITIRAN-26JUL01-RPAH

Event family

KXVISITIRAN.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$10K

Outcomes

8

Highest price

Any U.S. Senator 5¢

Current share

39%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

14862.1%

IY (No)

25.8%

Adj IY

7431%

CRI

24

Overround

-0.8%

LAS

0.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

14862.1%
25.8%
Adj IY
7431%
24
Overround
-0.8%
LAS
0.00

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