SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2027543 days left

Will Rushern Baker III be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?

This contract is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

18¢
$989 volume
$589 liquidity
1533% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$64

Best sibling

Adrian Boafo 59¢

Ticker

KXMDPRIMARY-05D26-RBAK

Market snapshot

Rushern Baker III in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Rushern Baker III be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?. The displayed quote is 18¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $989. In the KXMDPRIMARY-05D26 family, this outcome ranks #3 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Rushern Baker III

Family rank

#3 of 4

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

18¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Nov 3, 2027

Reported volume

$989

Family context

4 outcomes · KXMDPRIMARY-05D26

Quote range

1¢-59¢

Family leader

Adrian Boafo 59¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 11m ago

Venue identifier: KXMDPRIMARY-05D26-RBAK. Family volume: $64.

Price history

18¢ current

+13¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 15, 2026May 4, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 17¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
10¢100
9¢200
3¢48
3¢35
2¢420
AskSize
17¢306
18¢100
19¢200
54¢4
55¢385

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Rushern Baker III wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MD-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXMDPRIMARY-05D26-RBAK

Event family

KXMDPRIMARY-05D26.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$64

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Adrian Boafo 59¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

604.6%

IY (No)

7.5%

Adj IY

60%

CRI

9

Overround

-0.2%

LAS

0.80

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

604.6%
7.5%
Adj IY
60%
9
Overround
-0.2%
LAS
0.80

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