What is the current probability for "Will Scott Turner be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 1¢ (1% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on January 20, 2029.

Where can I trade "Will Scott Turner be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiJan 20, 2029

Will Scott Turner be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

1¢

$40 volume

$40 liquidity

1% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$4K

Best sibling

Tulsi Gabbard 43¢

Ticker

KXCABOUT-26APR20-STUR

Price history

1¢ current

May 3, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 3¢

Kalshi

2¢ spread

BidSize

100¢86

AskSize

3¢985

4¢195

30¢15

31¢208

87¢257

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Scott Turner is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after Apr 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 20, 2029

Identifier

KXCABOUT-26APR20-STUR

Event family

KXCABOUT-26APR20.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$4K

Outcomes

Highest price

Tulsi Gabbard 43¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Scott Turner

kalshi · KXCABOUT-26APR20-STUR

1¢$0$0—

Tulsi Gabbard

kalshi · KXCABOUT-26APR20-TGAB