What is the current probability for "Will Chris Wright be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 6¢ (6% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on January 20, 2029. 993 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Chris Wright be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 882.4% and 1.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Chris Wright be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiJan 20, 2029993 days left

Will Chris Wright be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

6¢

$3K volume

$2K liquidity

66% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$4K

Best sibling

Tulsi Gabbard 43¢

Ticker

KXCABOUT-26APR20-CWRI

Price history

6¢ current

+2¢

Apr 20, 2026Apr 30, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 6¢

Kalshi

2¢ spread

BidSize

100¢298

4¢2.5K

3¢878

2¢91

AskSize

6¢907

7¢2

8¢2

9¢302

10¢1.1K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Chris Wright is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after Apr 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 20, 2029

Identifier

KXCABOUT-26APR20-CWRI

Event family

KXCABOUT-26APR20.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$4K

Outcomes

Highest price

Tulsi Gabbard 43¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Chris Wright

kalshi · KXCABOUT-26APR20-CWRI

4¢$3$3—

Tulsi Gabbard

kalshi · KXCABOUT-26APR20-TGAB