SimpleFunctions

Scream 7 · Highest grossing movie in 2026

Scream 7 is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 14 inside Highest grossing movie in 2026?.

Price history

1¢ current

49¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 28, 2026May 18, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Outcome

Scream 7

Rank

#6 of 14

Leader

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 54¢

Range

0¢-54¢

Family volume

$9.3M

Identifier

0x894a61a2...01d9

May 28, 2026, 10:16 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 10:16 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$14K

Family rank

#6 of 14

14 outcomes · Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Family volume

$9.3M

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 1¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
100¢510K
100¢160K
0¢5.0M
0¢1.0M
0¢133K
0¢147K
AskSize
2¢49
2¢80
2¢84
100¢400
100¢599
100¢20
100¢1.4K
100¢75K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x894a61a2…01d9

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

Highest grossing movie in 2026.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$9.3M

Outcomes

14

Highest price

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 54¢

Current share

18%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

polymarket · 0xc4b07998e8f9bf6b95f079d6dc0529f3c6f59698d4e168817ad5f99304de6c57

54¢
$273K$7160.0

Avengers: Doomsday

polymarket · 0xe4f4b614a6c2b4ecd8eb700d19c0e6533d3fbd1bc28193b2255394ef74006e6f

19¢
$339K$712

Toy Story 5

polymarket · 0xcd57f3ad3bbbdaa96aacabd35f50c2d6e30f777e4a33876a4ab2dcd9f0b8c170

13¢
$262K$9K0.0

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

polymarket · 0xec181db4470b152493b58229862af3f6335b77cc719f5a0e7ed58c9f9848b992

4¢
$274K$1K

The Odyssey

polymarket · 0x6ec4fec4885df7f3ac46e5d0051beb6d8ac75de6a8481f13f245ff26dcb4b662

3¢
$437K$499

Scream 7

polymarket · 0x894a61a2baa777adf1d03a263a4b2d8faa7e1ebc7bf6694a37701fae8add01d9

1¢
$1.6M$14K

Wuthering Heights

polymarket · 0x221aaa62fed17db56fbc7983f88110a9c34861c3262154ee3315425378e3ae12

1¢
$1.5M$17K

Wicked: For Good

polymarket · 0xfd029ab3d6d27b6e1f3480dce858c97fb12e5bebd6fb50be7520102c56ba8ce1

1¢
$1.4M$13K

Michael

polymarket · 0xde9f827cb2d568db7801439693645a941a38fe6feaeb08b86087ad367d991704

1¢
$819K$1K

Project Hail Mary

polymarket · 0x242d251e7e804f79e1f237896b0f5e73caea72375dcb84e5a60d1cd0d2f80ef5

1¢
$780K$29K

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping

polymarket · 0x625d0091f4c647e5497bd9b03f8526bd486d6c339380b8046e4dd5b3373046b7

1¢
$631K$148K

Dune: Messiah

polymarket · 0x9c47ba9e666983bd8d82bfab790509153bf7756c43913f6ef269e33c8955939c

1¢
$373K$1K

Jumanji 3

polymarket · 0xcf8a237df51a51511c4f96bb4390480ad72b898ca8ec7e9a3c16c47c8e5e468a

1¢
$294K$8K

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu

polymarket · 0xc9b9f89ac915385c8d77edb73872c49e5bf76e510b74b9609e74e7f8d0339df2

0¢
$288K$2K

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

cultural

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.