SimpleFunctions

Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026

Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026 is priced at 12¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 11¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

12¢ current

4¢
10¢20¢
May 20, 2026Jun 16, 2026

Contract brief

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Outcome

Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$38K

Identifier

0x88ceaf60...a52e

Jun 19, 2026, 9:59 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

12¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 19, 2026, 9:59 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

11¢

Ask

12¢

Spread

24h volume

$2

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$38K

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 12¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
11¢127
10¢300
8¢430
7¢450
6¢100
5¢1.1K
4¢3.5K
3¢516
AskSize
12¢114
13¢10
14¢100
16¢220
17¢10
18¢405
19¢10
20¢256

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

0x88ceaf60…a52e

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$38K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026 12¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

financial

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.