What price will Solana hit in April?
Leader sits at 62% across 20 bound outcomes, runner-up at 48%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
↓ 60
Outcomes
20
winner-take-all
Runner-up
48¢
↓ 1,500
Spread
14pp
contested
24h volume
$68K
liquid
Closes
—
not derived
Venue
Polymarket
20 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What price
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 45,000
0x024b68…6fee
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 40,000
0x1e5564…baa2
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: ↓ 1,500
0xcf25cc…9780
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 50,000
0xce3c54…2c56
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 35,000
0x2745c3…a2a2
What price will Solana hit in 2026?: ↓ 60
0x0135f2…c27e
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 200,000
0xac32e7…68cd
What price will Solana hit in 2026?: ↑ 320
0xef2804…e92c
What price will Solana hit in 2026?: ↑ 600
0x488999…85b3
What price will Solana hit in 2026?: ↑ 220
0x7b2484…c4cb
What price will Solana hit in 2026?: ↑ 240
0x19ecee…cd89
What price will Solana hit in 2026?: ↑ 160
0x715479…54a3
What price will Solana hit in 2026?: ↓ 20
0x0bccf8…bae6
What price will Solana hit in 2026?: ↓ 40
0x5c2f3a…7e67
What price will Solana hit in 2026?: ↑ 260
0x5a353d…bdee
What price will Solana hit in 2026?: ↑ 200
0x53351e…6c1f
What price will Solana hit in 2026?: ↑ 280
0x5c1d1a…9ab8
What price will Solana hit in 2026?: ↑ 400
0xa54d85…1bdc
What price will Solana hit in 2026?: ↑ 300
0xd4f01d…e5e2
What price will Solana hit in 2026?: ↑ 180
0x88ceaf…a52e
What moved the line
- Apr 28↑ 240↑17pp11→28¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 29↑ 240↓17pp28→11¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 29↑ 220↓15pp26→11¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 28↑ 220↑14pp12→26¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 28↑ 320↑10pp6→16¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in bitcoin
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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Bitcoin April $80k Target Falls -4¢ as BTC ETF Drops — End of Month Window Closing
With days left in April, the Bitcoin $80k target contract fell -4¢ to 43¢ and the $82.5k contract dropped -6¢ to 10¢ as IBIT slips 0.25%. Kalshi's end-of-month $80k trimmed mean contract is at 39¢, creating a near-arbitrage with Polymarket.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.