Will Southampton FC be promoted from the EFL Championship in the 2025-26 season?
This contract is priced at 63¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 58¢ ask, 26¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$9K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
KXEFLPROMO-26-SOU
Market snapshot
Will Southampton FC be promoted from the EFL Championship in the 2025-26 season in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Southampton FC be promoted from the EFL Championship in the 2025-26 season?. The displayed quote is 63¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $50. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 17, 2026, 2:36 AM UTC.
Outcome
Will Southampton FC be promoted from the EFL Championship in the 2025-26 season
Family rank
—
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
63¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 22, 2026
24h volume
$50
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 17, 2026, 2:36 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: KXEFLPROMO-26-SOU. Family volume: $9K.
Price history
63¢ current
+60¢Orderbook snapshot
32 / 58¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Southampton FC is promoted from the EFL Championship during the 2025-26 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 22, 2026
Identifier
KXEFLPROMO-26-SOU
Event family
This market.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$9K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Southampton FC be promoted from the EFL Championship in the 2025-26 season 63¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 63% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.