SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 12, 2026

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 12 million views?

This contract is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 99¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

99¢
$9K volume
$6K liquidity
115% of event volume

Event outcomes

11

Family volume

$8K

Best sibling

At least 30 million 52¢

Ticker

KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSMOVIE-26MAY11-12

Market snapshot

At least 12 million in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 12 million views?. The displayed quote is 99¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $5K. In the Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least family, this outcome ranks #1 of 11 by current quote across 11 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:07 AM UTC.

Outcome

At least 12 million

Family rank

#1 of 11

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

99¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 12, 2026

24h volume

$5K

Family context

11 outcomes · Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least

Quote range

8¢-99¢

Family leader

At least 12 million 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:07 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSMOVIE-26MAY11-12. Family volume: $8K.

Price history

99¢ current

+96¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 5, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

99 / 100¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
99¢11K
96¢66
95¢10
60¢1
58¢2.7K
AskSize

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the #1 Movie on Netflix has at least 12 million views on the chart published on May 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 12, 2026

Identifier

KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSMOVIE-26MAY11-12

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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