SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 12, 20263 days left

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 6 million views?

This contract is priced at 98¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 97¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

98¢
$640 volume
$488 liquidity
8% of event volume

Event outcomes

11

Family volume

$8K

Best sibling

At least 12 million 99¢

Ticker

KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSMOVIE-26MAY11-6

Market snapshot

At least 6 million in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 6 million views?. The displayed quote is 98¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $640. In the Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least family, this outcome ranks #3 of 11 by current quote across 11 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

At least 6 million

Family rank

#3 of 11

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

98¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 12, 2026

Reported volume

$640

Family context

11 outcomes · Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least

Quote range

8¢-99¢

Family leader

At least 12 million 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 4m ago

Venue identifier: KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSMOVIE-26MAY11-6. Family volume: $8K.

Price history

98¢ current

+95¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 5, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

97 / 100¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
97¢234
96¢266
90¢50
60¢14
12¢44
AskSize

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the #1 Movie on Netflix has at least 6 million views on the chart published on May 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 12, 2026

Identifier

KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSMOVIE-26MAY11-6

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

32

Overround

4.5%

LAS

0.03

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

32
Overround
4.5%
LAS
0.03

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