SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 12, 20263 days left

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 30 million views?

This contract is priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 52¢ bid, 65¢ ask, 13¢ spread.

Implied probability

53¢
$1K volume
$1K liquidity
18% of event volume

Event outcomes

11

Family volume

$8K

Best sibling

At least 12 million 99¢

Ticker

KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSMOVIE-26MAY11-30

Market snapshot

At least 30 million in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 30 million views?. The displayed quote is 53¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $912. In the Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least family, this outcome ranks #8 of 11 by current quote across 11 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

At least 30 million

Family rank

#8 of 11

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

53¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 12, 2026

24h volume

$912

Family context

11 outcomes · Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least

Quote range

8¢-99¢

Family leader

At least 12 million 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSMOVIE-26MAY11-30. Family volume: $8K.

Price history

53¢ current

+51¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 6, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

52 / 65¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
52¢3
51¢100
49¢100
48¢66
47¢200
AskSize
65¢2
66¢66
84¢24
86¢214
87¢593

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the #1 Movie on Netflix has at least 30 million views on the chart published on May 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 12, 2026

Identifier

KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSMOVIE-26MAY11-30

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

1

VR

0.70

IAR

1.1/h

Overround

4.3%

LAS

0.23

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1
VR
0.70
IAR
1.1/h
Overround
4.3%
LAS
0.23

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