Cut 25bps · Will the Bank of Russia
Cut 25bps is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside Will the Bank of Russia.
Price history
5¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
If the Bank of Russia takes the action of Cut 25bps at June Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Cut 25bps
Rank
#4 of 7
Leader
Cut 50bps 72¢
Range
1¢-72¢
Family volume
$261
Identifier
KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-C25
Jun 7, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
5¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#4 of 7
7 outcomes · Will the Bank of Russia
Closes
Jun 19, 2026
Family volume
$261
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 5¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Bank of Russia takes the action of Cut 25bps at June Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 19, 2026
Identifier
KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-C25
Event family
Will the Bank of Russia.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$261
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Cut 50bps 72¢
Current share
0%
Cut 50bps
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-C50
Cut more than 50bps
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-C50P
Maintain current rate
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-HOLD
Cut 25bps
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-C25
Hike 50bps
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-H50
Hike more than 50bps
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-H50P
Hike 25bps
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-H25P
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.