SimpleFunctions

Maintain current rate · Will the Bank of Russia

Maintain current rate is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside Will the Bank of Russia.

Price history

12¢ current

9¢
0¢10¢20¢
May 8, 2026Jun 6, 2026

Contract brief

If the Bank of Russia takes the action of Maintain current rate at June Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Maintain current rate

Rank

#3 of 7

Leader

Cut 50bps 75¢

Range

1¢-75¢

Family volume

$261

Identifier

KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-HOLD

Jun 6, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

12¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 6, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

Ask

13¢

Spread

24h volume

$261

Family rank

#3 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the Bank of Russia

Closes

Jun 19, 2026

Family volume

$261

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 13¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢720
6¢517
2¢49
AskSize
13¢501
36¢78
73¢1.2K
74¢7
86¢8

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Bank of Russia takes the action of Maintain current rate at June Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 19, 2026

Identifier

KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-HOLD

SF Signal
SF Index
15256.97
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

45768.6%

IY (No)

186.5%

Adj IY

15257%

CRI

16

Overround

-0.0%

LAS

0.33

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

high

Event type

political

Full indicator table

45768.6%
186.5%
Adj IY
15257%
16
Overround
-0.0%
LAS
0.33

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.