Cut 50bps · Will the Bank of Russia
Cut 50bps is priced at 78¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 73¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside Will the Bank of Russia.
Price history
78¢ current
+19¢Contract brief
If the Bank of Russia takes the action of Cut 50bps at June Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Cut 50bps
Rank
#1 of 7
Leader
Cut 50bps 73¢
Range
1¢-73¢
Family volume
$9
Identifier
KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-C50
Jun 8, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
73¢
Ask
78¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$9
Family rank
#1 of 7
7 outcomes · Will the Bank of Russia
Closes
Jun 19, 2026
Family volume
$9
Orderbook snapshot
73 / 78¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Bank of Russia takes the action of Cut 50bps at June Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 19, 2026
Identifier
KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-C50
Event family
Will the Bank of Russia.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$9
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Cut 50bps 73¢
Current share
100%
Cut 50bps
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-C50
Cut more than 50bps
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-C50P
Maintain current rate
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-HOLD
Cut 25bps
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-C25
Hike 50bps
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-H50
Hike more than 50bps
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-H50P
Hike 25bps
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUN19-H25P
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.