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KalshiMay 4, 20261 days left

Will the high temp in Miami be 83-84° on May 3, 2026?

This contract is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

40¢
$11K volume
$6K liquidity
20% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$56K

Best sibling

79° to 80° 3¢

Ticker

KXHIGHMIA-26MAY03-B83.5

Price history

40¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 2, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

35 / 39¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
35¢11
34¢85
33¢77
31¢1
30¢15
AskSize
39¢8
40¢10
41¢147
42¢5
43¢55

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for May 03, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 83-84°, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 4, 2026

Identifier

KXHIGHMIA-26MAY03-B83.5

Event family

Will the high temp in Miami.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$56K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

81° to 82° 48¢

Current share

19%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

VR

0.58

IAR

4.3/h

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.11

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2
VR
0.58
IAR
4.3/h
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.11

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