Before Jun 6, 2026 · Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?: Before J
Before Jun 6, 2026 is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 5 inside Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?: Before J.
Price history
1¢ current
−21¢Contract brief
If a reconciliation bill passes the House before June 06, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jun 6, 2026
Rank
#5 of 5
Leader
Before Jan 1, 2027 95¢
Range
1¢-95¢
Family volume
$23K
Identifier
KXRECNCH-26-JUN06
Jun 6, 2026, 5:05 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#5 of 5
5 outcomes · Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?: Before J
Closes
Jun 6, 2026
Family volume
$23K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a reconciliation bill passes the House before June 06, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 6, 2026
Identifier
KXRECNCH-26-JUN06
Event family
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?: Before J.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$23K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Before Jan 1, 2027 95¢
Current share
17%
Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · KXRECNCH-26-JAN01
Before Jul 3, 2026
kalshi · KXRECNCH-26-JUL03
Before Jun 12, 2026
kalshi · KXRECNCH-26-JUN12
Before Jun 10, 2026
kalshi · KXRECNCH-26-JUN10
Before Jun 6, 2026
kalshi · KXRECNCH-26-JUN06
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.