SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 10, 20261 days left

Will the minimum temperature be >73° on May 9, 2026?

This contract is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 23¢ spread.

Implied probability

15¢
$511 volume
$482 liquidity
33% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$2K

Best sibling

72° to 73° 39¢

Ticker

KXLOWTHOU-26MAY09-T73

Market snapshot

74° or above in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the minimum temperature be >73° on May 9, 2026?. The displayed quote is 15¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $511. In the Will the minimum temperature family, this outcome ranks #3 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

74° or above

Family rank

#3 of 6

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

15¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 10, 2026

24h volume

$511

Family context

6 outcomes · Will the minimum temperature

Quote range

2¢-39¢

Family leader

72° to 73° 39¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 11m ago

Venue identifier: KXLOWTHOU-26MAY09-T73. Family volume: $2K.

Price history

15¢ current

+4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

19 / 42¢

Kalshi
23¢ spread
BidSize
19¢1
18¢1
14¢149
13¢1
AskSize
42¢1
43¢29
46¢10
54¢2
59¢1

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the minimum temperature recorded at Houston for May 9, 2026, is greater than 73° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 10, 2026

Identifier

KXLOWTHOU-26MAY09-T73

Event family

Will the minimum temperature.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

72° to 73° 39¢

Current share

33%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

4

VR

0.41

IAR

1.6/h

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4
VR
0.41
IAR
1.6/h
Overround
-0.1%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionessay

Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders

Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index