SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 above $2.50 in August 2026

Above $2.50 is priced at 79¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 78¢ bid, 79¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 11 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $.

Price history

79¢ current

+54¢
25¢50¢75¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 18, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $2.5 in August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $2.50

Rank

#3 of 11

Leader

Above $1.50 95¢

Range

11¢-95¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXH200MS-26AUG-2.500

Jun 18, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

79¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 18, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

78¢

Ask

79¢

Spread

24h volume

$85

Family rank

#3 of 11

11 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

78 / 79¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
78¢1.3K
73¢300
2¢47
AskSize
79¢2.2K
98¢53
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $2.5 in August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Identifier

KXH200MS-26AUG-2.500

SF Signal
SF Index
1740.59
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXH series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

138.5%

IY (No)

1740.6%

Adj IY

1741%

CRI

4

RV

5479%

VR

18.91

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

138.5%
1740.6%
Adj IY
1741%
4
RV
5479%
VR
18.91
IAR
2.1/h
Overround
4.2%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.