SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 18, 2027251 days left

Will the New England pro football team win at least 11 games this season?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

36¢
$1K volume
$930 liquidity
18822% of event volume

Event outcomes

15

Family volume

$7

Best sibling

17 wins 16¢

Ticker

KXNFLWINS-27NE-11

Market snapshot

11+ wins in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the New England pro football team win at least 11 games this season?. The displayed quote is 36¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $4. In the Will the New England pro football team win at least family, this outcome ranks #11 of 15 by current quote across 15 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC.

Outcome

11+ wins

Family rank

#11 of 15

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

36¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 18, 2027

24h volume

$4

Family context

15 outcomes · Will the New England pro football team win at least

Quote range

2¢-84¢

Family leader

1+ wins 84¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: KXNFLWINS-27NE-11. Family volume: $7.

Price history

36¢ current

+35¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

35 / 36¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
35¢5
34¢50
30¢500
29¢800
28¢510
AskSize
36¢501
37¢550
40¢50
44¢1.0K
50¢2.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the New England Pro Football team wins at least 11 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLWINS-27NE-11

SF Signal
SF Index
131.03
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

NFL Team Season Win Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNFLWINS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

269.8%

IY (No)

78.2%

Adj IY

131%

CRI

2

Overround

7.1%

LAS

0.03

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

269.8%
78.2%
Adj IY
131%
2
Overround
7.1%
LAS
0.03

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.