SimpleFunctions

New England pro football team win at least 12 games this season

12+ wins is priced at 30¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 13 inside Will the New England pro football team win at least.

Price history

30¢ current

+3¢
20¢30¢
Sep 9, 2026Oct 11, 2026

Contract brief

If the New England Pro Football team wins at least 12 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

12+ wins

Rank

#10 of 13

Leader

3+ wins 99¢

Range

2¢-99¢

Family volume

$5K

Identifier

KXNFLWINS-27NE-12

Oct 11, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 10h ago

Implied probability

30¢
Latest venue quote
Oct 11, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 10h ago

Bid

28¢

Ask

30¢

Spread

2¢

24h volume

$3K

Family rank

#10 of 13

13 outcomes · Will the New England pro football team win at least

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$5K

Orderbook snapshot

28 / 30¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
28¢30
27¢200K
12¢90
AskSize
30¢200K
32¢557
35¢100
45¢90
62¢1.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the New England Pro Football team wins at least 12 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLWINS-27NE-12

SF Signal
SF Index
597.31
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

NFL Team Season Win Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNFLWINS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1393.8%

IY (No)

98.5%

Adj IY

597%

CRI

4

Overround

4.6%

LAS

0.14

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1393.8%
98.5%
Adj IY
597%
4
Overround
4.6%
LAS
0.14

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.