Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be exactly 4 in May 2026?
This contract is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
9
Family volume
$2K
Best sibling
3 15¢
Ticker
KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26JUN01-T4
Price history
16¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 16¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) is exactly 4 in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26JUN01-T4
Event family
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules).
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
6 17¢
Current share
0%
4
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26JUN01-T4
3
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26JUN01-T3
2
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26JUN01-T2
8
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26JUN01-T8
7
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26JUN01-T7
5
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26JUN01-T5
6
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26JUN01-T6
1
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26JUN01-T1
At least 9
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26JUN01-T9
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress
A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 16% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.