Will the price of the USDX be above 101 by Dec 31, 2026?
This contract is priced at 75¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 73¢ ask, 68¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
Above 102 63¢
Ticker
KXUSDX-26-T101
Market snapshot
Above 101 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the price of the USDX be above 101 by Dec 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 75¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $5K. In the Will the price of the USDX be above 10 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Above 101
Family rank
#2 of 5
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
75¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 1, 2027
Reported volume
$5K
Family context
5 outcomes · Will the price of the USDX be above 10
Quote range
1¢-63¢
Family leader
Above 102 63¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 2m ago
Venue identifier: KXUSDX-26-T101. Family volume: —.
Price history
75¢ current
−3¢Orderbook snapshot
5 / 73¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the U.S. dollar index (DXY) is above 101 at any time between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXUSDX-26-T101
Event family
Will the price of the USDX be above 10.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Above 102 63¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Volatility Arbitrage in Prediction Markets: Why Political Favorites Above 60¢ Are Systematically Underconfident
A binary contract at price p has variance p(1-p). Le 2026 (292M trades) finds political markets underconfident at slopes 0.93-1.83 — meaning a 70¢ contract corresponds to a true probability near 83%. Four systematic vol-arb trades follow from the calibration evidence.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 75% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.