Price of the USDX above 104 by Dec 31, 2026
Above 104 is priced at 70¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 57¢ bid, 70¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside Will the price of the USDX be above 10.
Price history
70¢ current
+68¢Contract brief
If the U.S. dollar index (DXY) is above 104 at any time between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 104
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
Above 102 73¢
Range
34¢-73¢
Family volume
$7
Identifier
KXUSDX-26-T104
Jun 25, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
57¢
Ask
70¢
Spread
13¢
24h volume
$7
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · Will the price of the USDX be above 10
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$7
Orderbook snapshot
57 / 70¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the U.S. dollar index (DXY) is above 104 at any time between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXUSDX-26-T104
Event family
Will the price of the USDX be above 10.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Above 102 73¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.