What is the current probability for "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in June 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 94¢ (94% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on July 14, 2026. 72 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in June 2026?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 50.3% and 5138.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

KalshiJul 14, 202672 days left

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in June 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 94¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 91¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 6¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

94¢

$2K volume

$1K liquidity

93% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$2K

Best sibling

Above 3.9% 67¢

Ticker

KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.5

Price history

94¢ current

+31¢

Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

91 / 97¢

Kalshi

6¢ spread

BidSize

100¢7.5K

91¢200

79¢200

8¢35

7¢54

AskSize

97¢200

98¢130

99¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.5% in the twelve months ending June 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 14, 2026

Identifier

KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.5

Event family

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

Highest price

Above 2.5% 95¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Above 3.5%

kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.5

91¢$9$90.1

Above 3.9%

kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.9