SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2027549 days left

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Michigan

This contract is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

13¢
$44K volume
$31K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$44K

Best sibling

Ticker

GOVPARTYMI-26-R

Price history

13¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 1, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

13 / 14¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
13¢246
12¢2.1K
11¢46
10¢750
10¢301
AskSize
14¢958
16¢300
17¢5.0K
19¢40
20¢240

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Michigan pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

GOVPARTYMI-26-R

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$44K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Michigan 13¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

445.1%

IY (No)

9.9%

Adj IY

223%

CRI

7

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

445.1%
9.9%
Adj IY
223%
7
Overround
-0.0%

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