Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be between 20% and 29.99% on Jul 1, 2026?
This contract is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$606
Best sibling
Between 10% and 19.99% 69¢
Ticker
KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-24
Price history
11¢ current
+9¢Orderbook snapshot
6 / 10¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the general import tariff rate on imports from the European Union into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is between 20 to 29.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-24
Event family
Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$606
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Between 10% and 19.99% 69¢
Current share
80%
Between 20% and 29.99%
kalshi · KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-24
Between 10% and 19.99%
kalshi · KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-14
Above 60%
kalshi · KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-30
Below 10%
kalshi · KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-5
Between 30% and 39.99%
kalshi · KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-34
Between 40% and 49.99%
kalshi · KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-44
Between 50% and 60%
kalshi · KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-55
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 11% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.