Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing May 31, 2026.
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3¢Bid/Ask 3/3¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $4,552.446·OI $104,845.55·Closes May 31, 2026·33d remaining
0xcddc048c672ee233890b99b18885dbd510e3db3d67c53afb408ddc93f9aadff4
7-day price44 snapshots · 118 regime
50¢3¢ current
Apr 203¢Apr 25
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Computed
4/28/2026, 7:00:49 AM
Depth change (1h) 0.0%
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 6:53:26 AM
Trade
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sf trade 0xcddc048c672ee233890b99b18885dbd510e3db3d67c53afb408ddc93f9aadff4 yes 100