WTI crude oil settlement price above 103.99 USD/Bbl on May 29, 2026
Above $103.99 is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 15 inside Will the WTI crude oil settlement price.
Price history
9¢ current
−37¢Contract brief
If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(July 2026 contract) on May 29, 2026 is above 103.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $103.99
Rank
#2 of 15
Leader
Below $91.00 46¢
Range
3¢-46¢
Family volume
$22K
Identifier
KXWTIW-26MAY2914-T103.99
May 24, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$6K
Family rank
#2 of 15
15 outcomes · Will the WTI crude oil settlement price
Closes
May 29, 2026
Family volume
$22K
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 9¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(July 2026 contract) on May 29, 2026 is above 103.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 29, 2026
Identifier
KXWTIW-26MAY2914-T103.99
Event family
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$22K
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Below $91.00 46¢
Current share
29%
Below $91.00
kalshi · KXWTIW-26MAY2914-T91.00
Above $103.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26MAY2914-T103.99
$93.00 to $93.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26MAY2914-B93.50
$96.00 to $96.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26MAY2914-B96.50
$98.00 to $98.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26MAY2914-B98.50
$95.00 to $95.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26MAY2914-B95.50
$91.00 to $91.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26MAY2914-B91.50
$97.00 to $97.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26MAY2914-B97.50
$92.00 to $92.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26MAY2914-B92.50
$94.00 to $94.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26MAY2914-B94.50
$103.00 to $103.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26MAY2914-B103.50
$102.00 to $102.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26MAY2914-B102.50
$100.00 to $100.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26MAY2914-B100.50
$101.00 to $101.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26MAY2914-B101.50
$99.00 to $99.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26MAY2914-B99.50
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.