SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 12, 2026

Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >87.99 on May 12, 2026?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 98¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

99¢
$939 volume
$625 liquidity
2% of event volume

Event outcomes

15

Family volume

$48K

Best sibling

$99 or above 41¢

Ticker

KXWTI-26MAY12-T87.99

Market snapshot

$88 or above in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >87.99 on May 12, 2026?. The displayed quote is 99¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $876. In the Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be > family, this outcome ranks #1 of 15 by current quote across 15 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC.

Outcome

$88 or above

Family rank

#1 of 15

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

99¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 12, 2026

24h volume

$876

Family context

15 outcomes · Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >

Quote range

13¢-98¢

Family leader

$88 or above 98¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXWTI-26MAY12-T87.99. Family volume: $48K.

Price history

99¢ current

+30¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 8, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

98 / 99¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
98¢149
97¢209
96¢5.1K
94¢25
90¢80
AskSize
99¢225

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on May 12, 2026 is above $87.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 12, 2026

Identifier

KXWTI-26MAY12-T87.99

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Odds pages

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.