Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >94.99 on May 12, 2026?
This contract is priced at 82¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 81¢ bid, 82¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
15
Family volume
$44K
Best sibling
$99 or above 43¢
Ticker
KXWTI-26MAY12-T94.99
Market snapshot
$95 or above in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >94.99 on May 12, 2026?. The displayed quote is 82¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $3K. In the Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be > family, this outcome ranks #8 of 15 by current quote across 15 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.
Outcome
$95 or above
Family rank
#8 of 15
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
82¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 12, 2026
24h volume
$3K
Family context
15 outcomes · Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >
Quote range
16¢-98¢
Family leader
$88 or above 98¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 13m ago
Venue identifier: KXWTI-26MAY12-T94.99. Family volume: $44K.
Price history
82¢ current
+44¢Orderbook snapshot
81 / 82¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on May 12, 2026 is above $94.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 12, 2026
Identifier
KXWTI-26MAY12-T94.99
Event family
Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$44K
Outcomes
15
Highest price
$88 or above 98¢
Current share
7%
$95 or above
kalshi · KXWTI-26MAY12-T94.99
$99 or above
kalshi · KXWTI-26MAY12-T98.99
$98 or above
kalshi · KXWTI-26MAY12-T97.99
$97 or above
kalshi · KXWTI-26MAY12-T96.99
$96 or above
kalshi · KXWTI-26MAY12-T95.99
$91 or above
kalshi · KXWTI-26MAY12-T90.99
$100 or above
kalshi · KXWTI-26MAY12-T99.99
$94 or above
kalshi · KXWTI-26MAY12-T93.99
$102 or above
kalshi · KXWTI-26MAY12-T101.99
$90 or above
kalshi · KXWTI-26MAY12-T89.99
$101 or above
kalshi · KXWTI-26MAY12-T100.99
$93 or above
kalshi · KXWTI-26MAY12-T92.99
$88 or above
kalshi · KXWTI-26MAY12-T87.99
$92 or above
kalshi · KXWTI-26MAY12-T91.99
$89 or above
kalshi · KXWTI-26MAY12-T88.99
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 82% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.