SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 28, 202619 days left

Will there be 2+ holes-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship?

This contract is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 6¢ spread.

Implied probability

24¢
$2K volume
$1K liquidity
145% of event volume

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$1K

Best sibling

1+ holes-in-one 39¢

Ticker

KXPGAHOLEINONE-PGC26-2

Market snapshot

2+ holes-in-one in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will there be 2+ holes-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship?. The displayed quote is 24¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $205. In the KXPGAHOLEINONE-PGC26 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

2+ holes-in-one

Family rank

#2 of 3

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

24¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 28, 2026

24h volume

$205

Family context

3 outcomes · KXPGAHOLEINONE-PGC26

Quote range

3¢-39¢

Family leader

1+ holes-in-one 39¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 12m ago

Venue identifier: KXPGAHOLEINONE-PGC26-2. Family volume: $1K.

Price history

24¢ current

16¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 22, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 18¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
100¢3.6K
12¢18
11¢4.0K
3¢41
2¢625
AskSize
18¢134
25¢974
26¢2
55¢4
56¢1.1K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the golfers in the tournament record at least 2 holes-in-one in the PGA Championship originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 28, 2026

Identifier

KXPGAHOLEINONE-PGC26-2

Event family

KXPGAHOLEINONE-PGC26.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

1+ holes-in-one 39¢

Current share

16%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

14193.0%

IY (No)

263.9%

Adj IY

3548%

CRI

7

Overround

-0.5%

LAS

0.50

Regime

taker

Score

0.614

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

14193.0%
263.9%
Adj IY
3548%
7
Overround
-0.5%
LAS
0.50

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