Make Iran Great Again · Will Trump say "
Make Iran Great Again is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 15 inside Will Trump say ".
Price history
19¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If Make Iran Great Again, or a plural or possessive form of Make Iran Great Again, is stated by Donald Trump after June 1st at 8:00am ET and before Jul 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Make Iran Great Again
Rank
#13 of 15
Leader
DEI / Woke 99¢
Range
5¢-99¢
Family volume
$41K
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01-MAKE
Jun 17, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
16¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$421
Family rank
#13 of 15
15 outcomes · Will Trump say "
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$41K
Orderbook snapshot
16 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Make Iran Great Again, or a plural or possessive form of Make Iran Great Again, is stated by Donald Trump after June 1st at 8:00am ET and before Jul 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01-MAKE
Event family
Will Trump say ".
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$41K
Outcomes
15
Highest price
DEI / Woke 99¢
Current share
1%
DEI / Woke
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01-DEI
Greenland
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01-GREE
Crypto / Bitcoin
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01-CRYP
Autism
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01-AUTI
American Dream
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01-AMER
Kimmel
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01-KIMM
Palestine / Palestinian
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01-PALE
Fat shot / Ozempic
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01-FAT
UFO / UAP
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01-UFO
Pelosi
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01-PELO
Nine War / Ninth War
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01-NINE
Moscow
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01-MOSC
Make Iran Great Again
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01-MAKE
Goat
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01-GOAT
Epstein Island
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01-EPSTI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
US Oil Sanctions on Venezuela, Iran, and Russia in 2026: How Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Next Shock
A deep-dive into US oil sanctions on Venezuela, Iran, and Russia heading into 2026—covering Trump 2.0 policy, secondary sanctions, shadow fleets, global oil balances, European energy security, India/China behavior, and how prediction markets are pricing the next shock.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress
A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 19% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.